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Thread: Orkanen

  1. #31
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    The eye of Irma passed over Barbuda, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin
    this morning, and will be moving over portions of the British and
    U.S. Virgin Islands shortly. A NOAA National Ocean Service
    observing site on Barbuda measured sustained winds of 103 kt with a
    gust to 135 kt earlier this morning before the anemometer failed.
    The station also reported a minimum pressure of 916.1 mb. A minimum
    pressure of 915.9 mb was reported on St. Barthelemy. An Air Force
    reconnaissance aircraft that performed a single pass through the eye
    this morning reported SFMR winds of 152 kt in the northwestern
    eyewall around 12Z. Assuming there are stronger winds in the
    northeastern eyewall, the initial intensity remains 160 kt for this
    advisory. Another Air Force aircraft is currently entering the
    storm.

    Irma is moving west-northwestward or 285/14 kt. A strong high
    pressure ridge extending from the central Atlantic westward is
    expected to keep Irma moving west-northwestward during the next 2
    to 3 days. The track guidance is in good agreement during this
    period and the NHC track is along the southern edge of the guidance
    envelope in best agreement with the ECMWF and HFIP corrected
    consensus model. After that time, a shortwave trough moving
    southward over the east-central United States is expected to erode
    the western portion of the ridge. As a result, Irma is forecast to
    turn northwestward and northward, but there is still a fair amount
    of uncertainty regarding the exact timing and location of
    recurvature. The NHC forecast has been shifted eastward to be in
    better agreement with the latest model guidance, however it should
    be noted that there are numerous GEFS and ECMWF ensemble members
    that take Irma over and/or west of Florida. The updated NHC track
    is in best agreement with the latest ECMWF ensemble mean. Users are
    reminded that the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are
    about 175 and 225 statue miles, respectively.

    Irma is forecast to remain within favorable atmospheric conditions
    and over warm waters during the next 3 to 4 days. Therefore, Irma
    is likely to remain a very powerful hurricane during this time, and
    the NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous advisory
    through day 4. Since the 120-h forecast point is now offshore, the
    intensity forecast at that time has been adjusted accordingly.

    Now that Irma's eye is clearly visible in radar imagery from San
    Juan, Tropical Cyclone Updates with hourly position estimates
    will be issued starting at 1200 PM AST (1600 UTC).


    KEY MESSAGES:

    1. Irma is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane and will
    bring life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards to
    portions of the northern Leeward Islands, including the Virgin
    Islands and Puerto Rico today.

    2. A hurricane warning is in effect for the northern coast of the
    Dominican Republic, the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and
    Caicos, and portions of Haiti, with a hurricane watch in effect for
    the central Bahamas and much of Cuba. Irma is likely to bring
    dangerous wind, storm surge, and rainfall to some of these areas
    tonight through Friday.

    3. Irma could directly affect the remainder of the Bahamas and Cuba
    as an extremely dangerous major hurricane later this week. Residents
    in these areas should monitor the progress of Irma and listen to
    advice given by officials.

    4. Direct impacts from wind, storm surge, and rainfall are possible
    in the Florida Keys and portions of the Florida Peninsula beginning
    later this week and this weekend. However, given the forecast
    uncertainty at these time ranges, it is too soon to specify the
    location and magnitude of these impacts.

    _____________

    Nog altijd geen communicatie met Barbuda ...
    Cry. Cut. Rinse. Repeat.
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  2. #32
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    Irma zal wellicht veel doden maken.
    Die eilandjes verbonden aan Nederland en Frankrijk hebben nog degelijke gebouwen, en zelfs die worden gewoon verwoest door zo een windkracht.
    Haiti en Dominicaanse Republiek met zoveel arme mensen die in krotten wonen, daar gaat weinig van overblijven. Tegen zo een storm hebben die eigenlijk geen beschutting.
    Unlimited Potential!
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  3. #33
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    Nu als het een troost mag zijn, hij lijkt meer de bahama's te gaan hitten, alleen lijkt de storm surge er groter te worden dan de hoogte van de eilanden (dus zouden de eilanden voor een tijd onder water kunnen liggen in theorie), en daarna naar cuba.
    Cry. Cut. Rinse. Repeat.
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  4. #34
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    wtf, recht over miami, 892 hPa
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  5. #35
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    Cry. Cut. Rinse. Repeat.
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  6. #36
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    https://www.facebook.com/cannonf/vid...5476682141125/

    Hier Tortola live (Britse maagdeneilanden
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  7. #37
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  8. #38
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    BBC News website now reporting "The four "most solid" buildings on the island of Saint Martin have been destroyed, French Interior Minister Gérard Collomb announced."

    That doesn't sound good at all!








    de landfall bij georia
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  9. #39
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    Hopen dat ze oost blijft gaan, ziet er al iets beter uit volgens wat ze daar vertellen, alhoewel het nog vroeg is natuurlijk.
    Hamsteren is daar te zot voor woorden, madam kon al geen water meer vinden gisteren en naft al 30 cent opgeslaan in polk (terwijl dit niet mag volgens wet).
    Spelling aub hatchet
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  10. #40
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    Cry. Cut. Rinse. Repeat.
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    Quote Originally Posted by KBE View Post
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    haha
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    De orkaan achter Irma is precies ook al duidelijk te zien op de radarbeelden?
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  13. #43
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  14. #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by fordjah View Post
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    De orkaan achter Irma is precies ook al duidelijk te zien op de radarbeelden?
    Jose bedoel je.

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    Prijzen zijn daar ook enorm hoog precies.
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